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An American Opportunity  By Dan Stark




The Connected Society of the 20th Century 

Progress and cutting through the Chaos!
There seems to be hope in the year 2004, after all the clearing of the wanna be dot coms and the exposure of the greedy telecom business leaders. Even more hope for the twenty first century.  There have been great contributions to the means of  information distribution and storage.  Greatest in the area of making it affordable for all!  And yet we stand on the eve of something so big that few are able to see.  

In this year of 2004 the author can see folks that are still struggling to understand how to use this new source of  intelligence distribution. Or even to know that it is available.  Some get excited when they learn they could communicate with their love ones and friends using this new thing called e-mail.  Others are stimulated  upon discovery of how simple it is to get instant answers to there most urgent questions.  Businesses by this time have realized that this "Internet " thing is a necessary tool for survival. No longer a fancy marketing toy but rather a faster inbound and outbound multimedia channel for  "all " facets of doing business.

Application  after application is being brought to this giant called  "The Internet".  Efforts to make all of the functionality included in the "IP Internet experience "  completely wireless is well under way. 
Today, one may own and operate a wireless "PDA"
(personal data appliance)  that may well contain within it a cell phone  for voice communications and a mini processor for participating in the reception of Internet E-mail and pager services (Instant messaging). 

If that isn't enough... Some of the latest functionality one might find in this early twenty first century communicator would be a geographic positioning system (GPS)  to coordinate with the pre loaded map data  for your specific geographic area needs.  All this available in 2004.  And yet we are only seeing the very high peeks of the monstrous Ice Bergs called a mixture of names (i.e.; "The Internet", "Telematics", "GPS", Broad band", "WIFI", RFID and many other labels / names) .

What all of the above described utilities and inventions really mean is Opportunity unprecedented in the Twenty First Century.

"The only thing new under the sun is faces!"  Sherlock Holms
The author remembers many colorful stories handed down from his older relations.  Being the youngest of the youngest didn't hurt in this regard.  There were stories of how common farmers in the early 1900s were trying to self educate themselves about all of the Great new discoveries concerning "The principals of Flight and how to Get Rich by being a fabricator of the new technology".  Even some of the authors acquaintances and relation were guilty of trying to fabricate artificial wings that looked like oversized bird wings!  Yes, they were tested by individuals jumping off barns and not to high cliffs and Yes there were many failures,  broken bones, humiliations and not that many successes.  Didn't stop them though.

There were others that picked up on the new wireless craze.  Clicking out telegraph code through the air was very new in the early 1900s just as moving massive or bits of information from one point on the earth to another via multimedia means is now.

In the first 50 years of twentieth century, Wichita, KS turned out to be one of the incubators for airplane technology and manufacturing.  In that same 50 years there have been more than one attempt at being a silicone valley look a like.

What is common however, is the action of Common people
collectively creating and realizing uncommon goals through the creation of  products that service our everyday twenty first century NEEDS!   We are all guilty of taking for granted the huge steps and risk common people took to get us to where we are today.  The authors point is "Nothing has Changed" except we now have more pieces of the science and technology puzzle to work with!  Almost what some would consider an information overload!  That is unless you grow up with it.   You still have to find a way to keep current with the ever changing technologies, their permutations, collaborations and variations.

More discoveries are being made  now than ever. 
Question is how do you get to know what they are and how to use them?

How do you do this while trying to make a living?  Should you?  How do you identify the tools you need just to find the tools that you need to improve or invent something of your own?  Even if you are smart enough to come up with something novel that maybe someone will value, how can you afford the lawyer fees to patent that idea or product?  

Believe it or not, Thomas Edison as most of his competitors, had all of the same set of problems in the late 1800s!

How can this opportunity be exploited by the least of us?
After the "Dot Com " crash in 2000 and 2001, it is not easy for even the most experienced venture capatalist , inventors, manufactures to identify how to finace, manufacture and market.  The 2003 economy looks like the great depression of the 1930s.  The political scene is one of war and uncertainty.  Nothing much seems totally stabil.  

Yet we have available tools that would allow us to perform old tedious task at lightning speeds.  The same tools when combined will allow new solutions to old problems.  Not to mention solutions needed for all the new problems.  Because of the immense amount of new technology in so many fields there is probably an enormous amount of new opportunities for doing things that we could not even consider appropriate before.  

Example: The author is a well connected individual.  He owns a plain old telephone, three cell phones, fax machine, several personal computers, Internet Server, pager, PDA, Personally licensed by the FCC to operate powerful two way amatuer radios and owns other current day devices.  He also subcribes to Internet access and many data and news services.  It is a lot. 
How many telephones should one actually have.
How many would you want to pay for? 
Why not have only one?

There in lies an opportunity and also the problem. To keep the example simple, the home phone ( plain old phone) is the one that is listed in a data base and all of the telephone directories.  If one were to get rid of this phone he would save $ 60 + dollars month but no one could find him as cell phones to date do not have numbers listed in a directory.  But then the laws have changed and now those numbers can move with us as we change providers.
Cell phones on the other hand can be had for $ 30 month  and can be used in a portable manner most anywhere today.

There are also other related problems / opportunities. 
Cell phones operate off of battries.  Home phones if not portable dont.  Most homes have several phones on the same or multiple lines.  If you use the cell phone only it has to be with or near you all the time or you will not hear it ring.  A home phone you can usually hear ring for some distance.  Why is it we cant set our cell phone in a adapter that will let it ring and be part of the home phone devices?? and visa versa? 
It marries what we are used to and what we are being forced to do with the new.

Information. What are we going to do with all of it?


An Explosion of Technology and the next ten years

In Janurary of 2004 it is becomming more and more obvious that the internet is no longer a fad.  Rather it is todays necessity. The IP (internet protocol) technology that is driving it.. that is the development of the internet and related off shoot industries, can be found being discussed and planned for in the
research & development areas of all company.  Everybody is looking to see how the "thing is going to be useful in todays and tommorrows business needs".    It has become a "Gold Rush " experienced by the connected world.  For those that are not connected... someday they may read about it.  The next ten years will multiply (meaning double or triple the technological and manufacturing knowledge we currently enjoy) It will be the history that sets the tone and governs the changes that will determine how we live from day to day.

That being said one must take a hard look at what is really happening but probably just isnt realized yet.

Being connected yeterday at least for many was to have a internet connection faster than the common telephone dial up service of an average 56 kilobits per second.  Of course there are some still out there that do not have a computer, cell phone, or page device.  However in another generation or two that particular sitution will almost be gone. 

Within ten years of 2004 we will all have available seralized devices upon our person (if we so choose) that will fulfill our every most communicative desire.

This meaning that the device / appliance will contain most or all the current functionality we now experience with  wireless services including:

*    Cellular telephone in a much advanced state of operation.
       The author is not real sure we will call this new appliance / device a cell phone.  It will be most certainly a whole         lot more than that.   If ever there will be a "magic wann" that performs most of the mundane or routine   
        functions for us in an automated , remotely connected way... this will be it.  Everything from knowing what the
        temperature is here and where ever you want to where you are and how you want to get there.       

*   GPS 
While you are on your way to your destination the device will recognise where you are, give you
         directions, maps and instructions.  It will handshake with any tole plaza and pay any tolls you might have
         to pay (and pay them).    


*    WAP (wireless cellphone messaging)  Text messaging like e-mail, teletext and wireless teletype
      (one way).

*    Internet access via a web browser of sorts
on that same devise that today we would
      not recognise
.
      Imagine that you are blind... but yet you are able to speak and communicate with the appliance / Device
     and it is able to communicate with you via audio / video streaming direct to your mind via
a Headband /
     implant or  attached
imaging interface.  To Sci Fi?  Experiments have been in process and somewhat
     successful with projecting video images to the blind.  It is also a fact that the deaf have an option of
     experimental implants to bypass defective parts of human hearing. 
     And why not an wireless connect to our conciousness with an appliance of this nature?  Get ready!

*    Entertainment services in a streaming mode and on demand including video, audio and data.
     This will be more common than wearing shoes by the year 2014.  The only place you will not be connected
      is if you are out of satelite view or are in an underground tunnel not serviced by a new world order of    
     communication links.   "World Order"?  Oh yes. It is being built as we speak and it will be a major influence
     concerning how you do your every day business.  More about that later.

*    Smart Card technology  in an advanced state no longer needing a card or magnetic strip
     for exchange of ID or information. 
     The new handshake method will incorporate a "smart chip" communicating via wireless
     technology through the common communication media used by the
device / appliance carried by the indivigual.
     One will simply trigger the
device / appliance to purchase or recieve monetary value for services or products.
     Easily done as the
device / appliance will be carried and used  much like we do purses and wallets today.
j    sprintphone               it
         hp720
        
Advanced Features that most of us can not even dream of at this moment in time will include some if not all of the following. 

RFID

     * Incorporation of "RFID" (radio frequency identification data) technology in your portable connected device.

You know this technology in its crude state as bar code labeling.  Today we would use a scanner at the store to scan the bar code label on a product to identify it, price it, adjust the store inventory and identify what you as a customer purchased from the store.
Tommorrow (in the next 12 months or so) according to the viewed direction of the Walmart stores  inventory systems , all the bulk shipments to Walmart will be tracked by the attachment of the very small (from the size of a very small hair with a short length of less than an inch to 6 inches of flexible strip) permantly magnetized identification technology devices known as a "RFID".

walmart rfid             squiggel tag
Walmart offered reader...               Walmart squiggel tags for cloth etc.

This system of hardware and software that is geared for identifing  objects or  actions needed can be  used for a multitude of applications.  Most have not been invented yet!

 It has only been recently that Walmart  started offering  this technology.  One might even say  that because Walmart wants to use this technology throughout thier system, they are in fact changing industry standards for the better by making available and affordable, the very technology (I would think) that will infact increase Walmarts own effiency. 

Optical Identification
It is possible but honestly in my opinion A lesser chance of technology maturity for
Optical Identification
to be incorporated into your personal
portable connected device.   However, because of the rapid development of technology these days it is well possible there will be a technology learning curve that shifts in favor of this very process.  Today we have the technology figured out to the point where we know how to do it  but  how to make it affordable and readily available ... especially in a common personal portable connected device may be a bit of a challenge.  The again, in ten years perhaps not. 

Voice Recognition
It's already here folks!  It may need polish but the technology is what my wife prefers when dialing her personal cell phone.  That is...  instead of using fingers to dial she prefers to say it!  And sure enough, her voice speech is recognised and is translated to the dialing function needed to connect to her intended telephone number.

What may be more interesting by 2014 will be the fact not only will you be dialing numbers, you will be instructing the web  / WAP connection for direction as to what you want it to connect to..  What you want it to do (ie; retrieve, enter data, perform a simple function of pushing a "soft key" or  connecting to a web colaboration service.
It will confirm in a vocal or other manner that it has done just that!

World Wide Intercom / Instant messenger service.
Wireless companies
like NexTel  are monopolizing on the niche of instant "push to talk" functions that connect you instantly to the persons or group you are connected to.  "Real time " voice connect to your love ones, work partners and or others.  
This function being similar to the
Instant messenger service that is offered on many internet services, allowing one to instantly know when another entity is on line and available for communicating with. 

  

An Explosion of Opportunity
   And what will stop it??
Maybe the following ....

March 5, 2006

AT&T to acquire U.S. government in bold takeover move

an article taken from http://www.hamradio-online.com/

Speaking of press releases (see next item), the following is a press release from the Center for Digital Democracy in response to the news that SBC, which acquired Ameritech, and then basically acquired AT&T, is now going take over BellSouth, largely recreating the original AT&T monopoly for many consumers.



AT&T’s Takeover of Bell South: Bad for the Internet, Consumers, and Democracy: Deal will become Poster Child in Campaign to Protect the Net.

The expected acquisition of Bell South by AT&T (formerly SBC) reflects the strategy by the country’s largest cable and phone companies to build monopoly-styled businesses in both the broadband and interactive television markets. “AT&T wishes to be lord of the digital domain, able to impose a raft of tolls, fees and what they term “monetization” strategies for the Internet-whether it comes to us via wires or wireless devices,” explained Jeff Chester, CDD’s executive director. This proposed merger is the direct result of a recent FCC decision which eliminated long-standing safeguards for the Internet. AT&T can now operate its broadband platform (as well as its new digital TV service) as a privately controlled highway. Instead of the Internet reflecting what the federal courts not long ago called “the most participatory form of mass speech yet developed, ” it’s now threatened to be reduced to what AT&T called their private “pipes.”

“AT&T’s ambition knows no bounds and places the future of the broadband Internet at risk,” said Chester. “AT&T believes that it can engage in a telecommunications power grab because of the largely pro-business attitude of the Bush Administration and the FCC. But they are sadly mistaken if they believe there won’t be intense opposition to this deal from all those who care for the Internet’s democratic and competitive future,” he added.

Since the 1996 Telecommunications Act (ten years old last month), there has been an unprecedented wave of mergers and consolidation in the telephone, cable, broadcast radio and television and newspaper markets. Instead of the competition promised by the cable and phone industry to Congress, consumers and citizens have faced higher rates for service and a critical loss of diverse editorial perspectives. “Americans deserve to be forewarned.

If we permit more take-overs, such as AT&T and Bell South, we will soon eventually witness a further shrinking of the number of conglomerates dominating our local and national media. Soon, super-media monopolies will emerge, as the cable and phone companies that control vast expanses of online communications seek to also acquire newspapers, broadcast stations, and TV networks. Eventually, the owners of the so-called competing broadband Internet wires of the cable and telephone industry will likely consolidate as well-a merger between Comcast and Verizon, for example, or a Time Warner with AT&T. Instead of having a communications environment that promotes freedom, creativity, and expression, we could witness an ever-dwindling number of major corporations controlling an unthinkable array of the most powerful media outlets.

“AT&T will claim that this merger is necessary to ensure “broadband deployment,” a measure in the lobbyist-written 1996 Telecommunications Act. But what we need foremost is broadband democracy,” explained Chester.

The Center for Digital Democracy is a non-profit Washington, DC-based group promoting a diverse and democratic broadband media system. Jeff Chester’s book on the threat to the Internet by recent policies will be out this Fall, entitled “Digital Destiny.”


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